Prognostic Value of Inferior Shift of P wave Axis after Catheter Ablation for Longstanding Persistent Atrial Fibrillation based on Dallas Lesion Set Including Anterior Line
Article information
Abstract
Background and Objectives
Although an anterior linear ablation is an effective lesion set in radiofrequency catheter ablation (RFCA) for longstanding persistent atrial fibrillation (L-PeAF), its durability for bidirectional block (BDB) is only about 60% at repeat procedure. We hypothesized that changes in electrocardiogram (ECG) may predict an anterior line block state and the clinical outcome of L-PeAF ablation.
Subjects and Methods
We studied 304 L-PeAF patients (77% male, 60±10yrs), who consistently underwent RFCA Dallas lesion set (circumferential pulmonary vein isolation, posterior box lesion, and anterior line) protocol with subsequent comparison of pre-procedural and post-procedural P wave axes, and one year follow-up (n=205) sinus rhythm (SR) ECGs.
Results
1. P wave axis shifted inferiorly at immediate post-procedure (p<0.001), and was independently correlated with BDB of anterior line (ß=10.4, 95% confidence interval [CI] 2.79–17.94, p=0.008). 2. The degree of post-procedural inferior shift of P wave axis did not reflect clinical recurrence within one-year (n=205, p=0.923), potentially due to conduction recovery of an anterior line. However, among 160 patients without clinical recurrence within one-year, P wave axis at one-year ECG was independently associated with very late recurrence of AF after one-year (n=160, hazard ratio [HR] 0.98; 95% CI 0.97–0.99, p=0.001), during 45.6±16.7 months of follow-up. 3. Among 22 patients who underwent repeat procedures, P wave axis shift was more significant in patients with maintained BDB of an anterior line than in those without (p=0.015).
Conclusion
An inferior shift of P wave axis reflects the achievement and the maintenance of an anterior line BDB, and is associated with better long-term clinical outcome after catheter ablation for L-PeAF based on Dallas lesion set.
Introduction
Radiofrequency catheter ablation (RFCA) has become an accepted standard rhythm control treatment option in antiarrhythmic drug (AAD) resistant atrial fibrillation (AF) management.1 Persistent AF (PeAF) accompanies significant arrhythmic substrates and a higher AF burden. Current technology, however, such as an irrigated tip ablation catheters or three-dimensional electroanatomical mapping systems, have improved rhythm control outcomes remarkably. A PeAF catheter ablation, in terms of reducing the AF burden, is more effective than AAD.2 We previously reported that an anterior linear ablation is an effective strategy in RFCA for PeAF,3 mimicking the Dallas lesion set of surgical minimaze procedure.4 However, catheter ablation for longstanding PeAF (L-PeAF) remains a challenge, owing to the long-term recurrence of AF5 and limited long-term clinical outcomes of linear ablation.
Furthermore, L-PeAF is vulnerable to AF progression,6 even following successful catheter ablation. An AF recurrence prediction, therefore, employing simple non-invasive techniques, remains an unresolved clinical need in patients undergoing AF ablation. P wave analysis using standard surface 12-lead electrocardiography (ECG) is a simple and cost-effective modality for determining the prognosis of AF. We recently reported that low P wave amplitude in lead I with displaced interatrial conduction,7 and prolonged PR interval,8 are associated with a higher clinical recurrence rate of AF after catheter ablation. However, the clinical value of ECG in the context of ablation for AF is not well-established thus far, and the study populations in most studies included patients with paroxysmal AF (PAF).7,9 Therefore, we hypothesized that there would be a change in P wave morphology on ECG in association with linear ablation after catheter ablation in L-PeAF patients, and that those changes would have clinical implications. The purpose of this study was to determine long-term P wave changes after RFCA, their relationship with bidirectional block (BDB) of the linear ablation, and their prediction power for very late recurrence of AF in patients with L-PeAF.
Subjects and Methods
Study design
This study protocol was approved by the Institutional Review Board of Yonsei University Health System, and complied with the Declaration of Helsinki. All patients in this study signed a written informed consent form provided for their inclusion in the Yonsei AF ablation cohort (registered at clinicaltrials.gov with NCT2138695). Among 1,319 consecutive patients who underwent RFCA between March 2009 and December 2013, we included 587 patients with L-PeAF. L-PeAF was defined as AF lasting longer than one year,6 and AF duration was determined using ECG findings, and was not based on the presence of symptoms alone. Each patient underwent RFCA for symptomatic AF refractory to pharmacologic management. Among the 587 patients with L-PeAF, we selected and analyzed 304 patients with the same ablation lesion set (posterior box lesion and anterior linear ablations; Dallas lesion set), no history of previous RFCA or cardiac surgery, and no valvular or structural heart diseases (Figure 1). These 304 patients had pre-procedural and immediate post-procedural ECG parameters analyzed. Most of the included patients with L-PeAF had pre-procedural sinus rhythm ECG, because they underwent electrical cardioversion. Catheter ablation was not recommended, if sinus rhythm could not be restored with cardioversion. We additionally analyzed ECG parameters in 205 patients with sinus rhythm ECGs at one year post-ablation. This analysis was performed after excluding patients with less than 12 months follow-up (n=27), and patients without a discernible sinus rhythm ECGs one year after the procedure (n=72). After excluding patients with sinus rhythm but clinical recurrence (n=45) among the 205 patients, 160 RFCA patients with one-year ECG sinus rhythm history but without clinical recurrence were further evaluated for the very late recurrence presence, during an extended follow-up period.
Measurement of electrocardiography parameters
A mean duration for ECG documented AF was 60.3±99.7 months. Standard 12-lead ECGs (GE Healthcare, Marquette, MAC5500, Waukesha, WI, USA) were acquired after restoring sinus rhythm by electrical cardioversion (2.47±3.08 months before catheter ablation), immediately after catheter ablation, and at one year after the procedure. The sweep speed was 25 mm/s and the device was calibrated to 1 mV/cm. The heart rate, PR interval, and P-axis were automatically calculated with the available equipment. All P wave measurements were conducted by a single technician who was blinded to the clinical data. The correlation coefficient for the intra-class correlation was 0.96.
Radiofrequency catheter ablation
Details regarding electrophysiological mapping, RFCA technique and strategy have been described in previous studies.10 In brief, an open irrigation 3.5-mm-tip deflectable catheter (Celsius, Biosense-Webster, Johnson & Johnson Inc. Diamond Bar, CA, USA; Coolflex, St. Jude Medical Inc., Minnetonka, MN, USA.; 25–35 W) with three-dimensional electroanatomic mapping abilities (CARTO3, Johnson & Johnson Inc. Diamond Bar, CA, USA; NavX, St. Jude Medical, Inc., Minnetonka, MN, USA) was used for the RFCA. We created a standard Dallas lesion set by adding a roof line, a posterior-inferior line, an anterior line, and a cavo-tricuspid isthmus line, following circumferential pulmonary vein isolation (CPVI). Each linear line BDB was confirmed by differential pacing maneuvers and activation mapping in all patients.11 Additional ablations were performed to generate BDBs of these lines in cases in which BDBs of linear ablation lines were not achieved. However, ablation lines were kept unblocked to avoid collateral damage were not able to achieve linear ablation BDBs after three attempts. If there were mappable AF triggers or atrial premature beats (APCs) with isoproterenol infusion (5 μg/min), we carefully mapped and ablated those non-PV foci as much as possible. All RFCA procedures were conducted by two operators with more than 10 years of experience, in strict accordance to the aforementioned protocol.
Follow-up after ablation
All patients were monitored with continuous ECG overnight and discharged the day after the procedure. Of the total number of patient, 24.6% were discharged with AADs due to high chance of AF recurrence. AADs were discontinued if there was no evidence of AF/AT recurrence after the third month Holter. All patients were followed up with at the outpatient clinic at one, three, six, and 12 months, and every six months thereafter or whenever symptoms occurred after the ablation. Rhythm follow-ups every visit by ECG and Holter monitoring (24 hour) and/or event recording were conducted at three- and six-month intervals during the first year and every six months thereafter, according to the 2012 Heart Rhythm Society/EHRA/European Cardiac Arrhythmia Society Expert Consensus Statement guidelines.12 In addition, Holter monitoring or event recording was used in an attempt to diagnose arrhythmia, if the patient presented with palpitations. We defined recurrence of AF as any episode of AF or atrial tachycardia lasting longer than 30 seconds.12 Any ECG documentation of AF recurrence after three months was diagnosed as clinical recurrence. An episode of recurrent AF occurring more than a year after ablation was defined as a very late recurrence. In AF/atrial tachycardia recurrence patients, rhythm control was managed by AADs with or without cardioversion. It was our practice to recommend a second ablation procedure to these patients, unless sinus rhythm was maintained with AADs.
Statistical analysis
Continuous variables were reported as mean ± standard deviation and analyzed using independent t-tests or the Mann-Whitney U test. The normality was determined using the Kolmogorov-Smirnov goodness-of-fit test. Categorical variables were reported as counts and proportions, and were analyzed using Pearson's chi-square tests or Fisher's exact tests, as appropriate. Differences in ECG parameters before and after the RFCA were tested for, using the paired t-test. Multivariate linear regression analysis was used to identify predictors of P wave axis change. Variables found to be statistically significant on the univariate analysis were further analyzed using multivariate Cox regression analysis to evaluate the independent predictors of AF very late recurrence. The cutoff value for P wave axis change best differentiated between patients with or without an anterior line BDB, and with or without very late recurrence, were determined by using receiver-operating characteristic (ROC) curves. Kaplan-Meier analyses with log rank tests were used to compare AF recurrence-free survival over time, according to ΔP-axis. The SPSS statistical package (SSPS Inc., Chicago, IL, USA) was used to perform all statistical evaluations. A p-value ≤0.05 was considered statistically significant.
Results
P wave axis inferior shift after anterior linear ablation
Table 1 shows the baseline characteristics of the overall study population. The P wave axis shows inferior shift after ablation, when pre- and immediate post-ablation were compared (49.38° [46.57∼52.19°] vs. 67.59° [65.01∼70.14°], p<0.001). The BDB of linear ablation was confirmed anterior line in 68.4%, roof line in 86.8% and posterior-inferior line in 41.4% patients who underwent a de novo procedure, respectively. Compared with the changes in P wave axis by BDB in each linear ablation set that were evaluated, p wave axis was significantly more inferiorly shifted in cases of BDB of an anterior line (20.22° [16.40∼24.04°] vs. 9.40° [3.96∼14.83°], p=0.002; Table 2). Table 3 summarizes the linear regression analysis for clinical variables associated with P-wave axis change. In multivariate analysis, BDB of an anterior line (ß=10.4, 95% CI 2.79–17.94, p=0.008) was independently associated with P wave axis change. In the receiver-operating characteristics (ROC) analysis, ΔP-axis (Postimmediate post-RFCA – Prepre-RFCA) 8.5° was well-correlated with an anterior line BDB acute achievement (AUC=0.619, 95% CI 0.547–0.690, p=0.002; Figure 2A).
P wave axis shift and AF recurrence after catheter ablation for persistent AF
Among the 205 patients who had one-year follow-up SR ECG, significant differences existed between the pre- and one-year post-ablation ECG findings. The mean heart rate significantly increased (60.01 bpm [58.63–61.40 bpm] vs. 67.82 bpm [66.01–69.64 bpm], p<0.001), and PR interval became shorter (200.31 ms [195.11–205.52 ms] vs. 183.09 ms [178.27–187.9 2 ms], p<0.001). P wave axes of pre- and post-procedural ECG, and one-year follow-up ECG, were 51.33° (48.06∼54.60°), 66.52° (63.85∼69.18°, p=0.001 vs. pre-procedure), and 60.74° (56.93∼64.54°, p=0.08 vs. pre-procedure), respectively.
One hundred sixty patients out of the 205 patients (78.0%) remained in sinus rhythm without clinical recurrence at one-year follow-up (41.9% [67/160] patients with AAD). Immediate post-procedural P wave axis inferior shift did not predict clinical recurrence within one year of the procedure (HR 0.99; 95% CI 0.99–1.01, p=0.923), and Kaplan–Meier analysis showed that clinical recurrence of AF was not significantly different according to ΔP-axis (Postimmediate post-RFCA – Prepre-RFCA) 8.5° (Log rank p=0.460; Figures 2B and 2C), potentially due to conduction recovery of an anterior line.
In contrast, among 160 patients without clinical recurrence within one year of the procedure, 41 patients (25.6%) showed very late recurrence of AF one year after the procedure, and P wave axis shift seen on a one-year follow-up ECG was independently associated with very late recurrence of AF (HR 0.98; 95% CI 0.97–0.99, p=0.001), during 45.6±16.7 months of follow-up (Table 4). The change of P wave duration and amplitude after ablation procedure did not have a prognostic value (Supplementary Table). ROC curve analysis defined ΔP-axis (Postafter1years – Prepre-RFCA) 6° as thresholds for very late recurrence (AUC=0.796, 95% CI 0.615–0.792, p<0.001; Figure 2D), and Kaplan–Meier analysis showed a significantly higher very late clinical recurrence of AF in patients with ΔP-axis < 6° (Log rank p=0.004 in overall, p=0.022 without AAD; Figures 2E and 2F).
P wave axis predicts bidirectional block state of anterior line in repeat ablation
During the follow-up periods, 39 patients underwent a repeat procedure at 16.8±10.8 months, after de novo procedure. Among them, 22 patients achieved an anterior line BDB at the de novo procedure, and 16 of them maintained BDB of anterior linear ablation at redo-mapping (72.7%). P wave axis at redo-ablation was more inferiorly shifted in patients who maintained an anterior line block (35.14° [11.30∼58.99°]) than in those with a reconnected anterior line (6.50° [−2.14∼15.14°], p=0.009). Compared with P-axis at immediate after de novo procedure, P wave axis at redo-procedure was significantly different, depending on the BDB state of an anterior line (5.50° [−0.99∼15.13°] with BDB maintenance vs. −28.88° [−4.12∼−56.76°] with reconnected BDB, p=0.005; Figure 3).
Discussion
In this study, we evaluated the clinical and prognostic implications of P wave axis by comparing sinus rhythm ECGs before and after ablation for L-PeAF with consistent ablation lesion set, including posterior box lesion and anterior linear ablation. An anterior line BDB was independently associated with inferior shifting of the P wave axis, and maintaining an inferiorly shifted P wave axis was associated with significantly low very late recurrence rate of AF one year after the procedure.
Changes of P wave axis after ablation
The morphology of the P wave observed using surface ECG represents both atrial electrical activation and possible changes in some pathological conditions.13 AF catheter ablation may result in altered impulse conduction in the atrium, and after linear ablation, especially. Previous studies comparing post-AF ablation ECG have reported changes in P wave duration, but those were mostly limited to PAF population or CPVI without linear ablation.14,15 In the current study, we focused on changes in P wave axis among ECG parameters, since a consistent linear ablation lesion set was performed in L-PeAF patients. Patients with L-PeAF could have an extraordinary amount of left atrial scar. These intrinsic left atrial scars can affect atrial conduction. However, use of the Dallas lesion set, which includes a posterior box lesion and anterior line, resulted in an inferior shift of the P wave axis. Especially, it was mainly related to the completeness of an anterior line in this study. An anterior line crosses the septopulmonary, septoatrial, and Bachmann's bundles,16 injuring these muscle fibers and changing interatrial conduction.17,18 An anterior linear ablation therefore results in significant changes in the LA activation pattern, mainly through septal activation and the crista terminalis.18,19 This shifts the sum of the atrial 20
Prognostic value of the P wave axis
Recent studies suggest a prognostic value of the morphology of the P wave in terms of the clinical outcome after AF ablation. This prognostic value is mostly related to a pre-existent prolonged P wave duration and a reduced P wave amplitude,7,15 or less shortening of the post-procedural P wave duration.14 In this study, we found that the P wave axis change has a prognostic value after catheter ablation for L-PeAF, including anterior linear ablation. We postulated that there was a dependence of a prognostic value of the P wave axis inferior displacement on a degree of an anterior linear ablation completed. Pak et al.3 suggested the clinical usefulness of anterior linear ablation in patients with PeAF, related to blocking reentries around the mitral annulus, septum to roof, and left atrial appendage or critical mass reduction. Although we previously reported an easy anterior line generation and better clinical outcomes in comparison to the ones from PeAF left lateral isthmus ablation, an anterior line ablation long-term outcome remains yet to be clearly determined. In this study, long-term maintenance of a P wave axis inferior shift was closely related to remaining anterior line block and a low very late clinical recurrence of AF at one year after the procedure. The other potential explanation is that the patients with significant substrate remodeling had already developed a displaced P wave axis before the de novo procedure, and had a smaller change of P wave shift after the procedure. We previously reported that patients with atrial structural remodeling, displaced left atrial septal activation, and poor Bachmann's bundle conduction have higher chances of AF recurrence after catheter ablation.7 While the exact mechanism of this is not clear without repeated invasive mapping, it is encouraging to discover a sheer possibility of a simple non-invasive ECG parameter's (i.e., P wave axis) role in estimating the maintenance of a conduction block or in approximating a long-term risk of very late clinical recurrence in L-PeAF patients who underwent catheter ablation, including an anterior line ablation. Further research involving multi-center studies on ECG analysis in a higher number of patients with L-PeAF is warranted.
Limitations
This was a single-center cohort study that included a selective group of patients referred for L-PeAF catheter ablation; therefore, its results cannot be generalized. A high percentage of patients had L-PeAF in our cohort. It was possible to have included some paroxysmal or persistent AF patients who only underwent ECGs when they were in atrial fibrillation, and who were actually in sinus rhythm most of the time between the ECGs. We included only those patients with L-PeAF who underwent RFCA with the same lesion set, including anterior line. However, few patients showed AF trigger or APC frequently on isoproterenol infusion after standard lesion set ablation, focus was searched and ablated. This might make the lesion set heterogeneous, but its effect on conduction was probably minimal as compared with linear ablation, since focal ablation was performed. Although we derived the importance of anterior line based on multivariate regression analyses, we cannot exclude the potential inter-dependence between anterior line and other linear lesions. In this study, we included the patients taking AAD in analyzing the role of P wave axis in predicting very late clinical recurrence of AF one year after catheter ablation. However, the result found was consistent with that among patients without AAD.
Conclusions
An inferior shift of P wave axis reflects the achievement and maintenance of an anterior line BDB, and tends to have a correlation with better long-term clinical outcomes following catheter ablation for L-PeAF.
Supplementary Material
Supplementary Table. ECG characteristics according to the status of very late recurrence in L-PeAF patients.
Conflict of interest
The authors declare that they have no conflict of interest.
Source of funding
This research was supported by a grant (A085136) from the Korea Health 21 R&D Project, Ministry of Health.